辽宁大学经济学前沿高端讲座第一百零四讲 The Impact of Pollution on Intra-city Population Distribution—Based on Evidence of Government Relocation

来源：

学校官网

收录时间：

2026-03-17 19:20:34

时间：

2025-11-28 10:00:00

地点：

辽宁大学崇山校区五洲园一楼会议室

报告人：

梁文泉 副教授（同济大学经济与管理学院）

学校：

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关键词：

pollution, population distribution, government relocation, DID model, environmental economics, urban development, labor mobility

简介：

Using the Chinese Industrial Enterprise Pollution Database and county-level statistical data from 1998 to 2014, this study examines the impact of pollution emissions and the distribution of pollution within cities on the population. To address endogeneity issues, the study also employs the relocation of city government offices from 2000 to 2016 as an exogenous shock to construct a staggered Difference-in-Differences (DID) model for identifying the effects of pollution on the population in upwind areas within cities. The results show that an increase in pollution emissions in a county significantly decreases its resident population, and the distribution of pollution within a city also affects the population in different counties within the city. After the relocation of government offices, pollution in upwind areas significantly increases while the population significantly decreases. Mechanism analysis suggests that after the relocation, firms in upwind areas reduce pollution facilities, increase pollution emissions, and experience an increase in land allocation for heavy industries. Further investigation reveals that young individuals with higher education levels are less tolerant of the spread of pollution in upwind areas within cities, leading them to choose to move away from cities with higher pollution emissions in these areas.

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